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Volume XIV |

Rainfall deficit and excess within Oltenia region, Romania (1961-2020)

Abstract: Temporary rainfall deficit and excess impact both the natural environment and economic activities. Although rainfall does not display significant upward or downward trends in Central and Eastern Europe, global warming is expected to increase variability and associated risks. Thus, determining the annual and seasonal deviations of precipitation amounts at local scale is important in order to establish accurate trends of precipitation deficit and excess. We used 60-year time series (1961-2020) for 15 meteorological stations and a shorter series for one station (i.e., Slatina). The Standardized Precipitation Anomaly (SPA) indicates a predominance of normal years (32-50%), followed by dry and humid years, without an obvious latitudinal and altitudinal differentiation, while De Martonne aridity index (IaDM) emphasizes a latitudinal pattern: predominance of semi-humid years in the southern plain area, humid years in the northern plain area and the Getic Piedmont, very humid years in the Subcarpathians and extremely humid years in the mountains. Water deficit (IsDM < 20mm/°C) mainly affects the plain area during summer and autumn (50-60% of the seasons are arid and semiarid), but also the piedmont, where the share varies between 30 and 35%. Mann-Kendall (MK) test reveals the same pattern for annual values, namely, predominantly negative trends (statistically significant in the southwestern part of the region), which indicate an increase of both aridity and drought, including the higher hilly and mountain area. At seasonal level, autumn is the only period with positive, but not statistically significant trends, while in winter, spring and summer, trends are negative and statistically significant at certain stations. Consequently, drought-associated risks are projected to increase in the near future.

Volume XXII |

Influence of climate conditions on maize yield in Oltenia (1990-2021)

Abstract: Maize, the most important cereal crop at global level, is a climate-sensitive plant. Consequently, the changes of the key meteorological parameters, namely temperature and precipitation amount, determine low yields, especially in rain-fed regions. The dependency of maize yield on climate conditions was assessed based on monthly values of the considered meteorological parameters (data from 14 meteorological stations for the period 1990-2021). The mean values of the analysed interval generally reveal proper conditions for the development of maize. However, starting with June until September, mean temperatures are 1 to 2°C above the optimum thermal threshold, as mentioned in the specialized literature. The growth degree days index (GDD) emphasizes Oltenia as a region with a very good thermal potential for maize, all mean values exceeding 1600°C, but the southwestern sector of the plain area has already exceeded 2000°C, underlining the increase in heat stress. The water deficit generates dry conditions, especially in Mehedinți, Dolj, and Olt, mainly in the interval July-August, which also corresponds to the maximum water requirements of maize. Drought prone areas were determined based on Selyaninov’s hydrothermal coefficient (HTC), which indicates slightly dry conditions in the growing season in the plain area, while northwards, in the piedmont and Subcarpathians, the climate is slightly humid, respectively moderately humid, drought risk decreasing gradually in this direction. At monthly level, August is the most problematic period as, except the northeastern part (Polovragi and Râmnicu Vâlcea), the entire region displays dry, moderately dry, and slightly dry conditions. The lowest maize yields correspond to the years 1993, 2000, 2002, 2007, and 2012. If in the first three years, the drastic yield reduction was mostly determined by a severe water deficit registered during the entire life cycle of the plant, in the last two years, the main restrictive factor was represented by temperature, mean monthly values exceeding 27°C and mean maximum values 35°C, especially in the plain area. Taking into account the projected increase in temperature and water deficit, the impact of climate conditions on maize crops may also be gradually higher in Oltenia and certain adaptation measures should be taken.